Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.209943 0.243280 0.280197 0.324113 0.374944 0.431946 0.500750
2025-07-27 0.160081 0.205364 0.260779 0.333608 0.426881 0.542451 0.696750
2025-08-03 0.131131 0.180491 0.245219 0.336368 0.461585 0.627846 0.865926
2025-08-10 0.109358 0.159406 0.228837 0.332274 0.482737 0.694120 1.014635
2025-08-17 0.091353 0.139931 0.210684 0.321355 0.490513 0.740062 1.137681
2025-08-24 0.081958 0.131240 0.206220 0.328740 0.524512 0.826258 1.328928
2025-08-31 0.072986 0.121703 0.198829 0.329982 0.548215 0.898304 1.505708
2025-09-07 0.066219 0.114636 0.194158 0.334472 0.576873 0.980408 1.707423
2025-09-14 0.058513 0.104900 0.183747 0.327748 0.585392 1.029397 1.857995
2025-09-21 0.052631 0.097517 0.176324 0.325009 0.599976 1.089558 2.034112
2025-09-28 0.048427 0.092580 0.172520 0.328077 0.624933 1.170143 2.255820
2025-10-05 0.046486 0.091573 0.175635 0.344123 0.675473 1.302377 2.589124
2025-10-12 0.043939 0.089182 0.176053 0.355392 0.718848 1.427220 2.925918
2025-10-19 0.041484 0.086691 0.176007 0.365788 0.761840 1.556409 3.287903
2025-10-26 0.038503 0.082743 0.172579 0.368816 0.790024 1.658868 3.606740
2025-11-02 0.035122 0.077533 0.165960 0.364325 0.801785 1.728603 3.864032
2025-11-09 0.031457 0.071265 0.156401 0.352348 0.795899 1.760168 4.041260
2025-11-16 0.029858 0.069373 0.156005 0.360449 0.835170 1.893501 4.462415
2025-11-23 0.027875 0.066370 0.152812 0.361811 0.859223 1.995483 4.823217
2025-11-30 0.026333 0.064205 0.151254 0.366735 0.892014 2.120688 5.253489
2025-12-07 0.024101 0.060132 0.144839 0.359360 0.894584 2.175579 5.519509
2025-12-14 0.022359 0.057053 0.140434 0.356356 0.907433 2.256274 5.859178
2025-12-21 0.021145 0.055154 0.138672 0.359721 0.936553 2.379775 6.322588